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Feb 13, 2026
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SHORT
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DraftKings fell 13.5% after missing sales and profit forecasts. While the company cites "prediction markets" as an opportunity, the analyst notes this actually increases competition from platforms like Robinhood. Regulatory overhangs specific to sports betting apps remain a burden that new entrants might avoid. SHORT due to missed execution and intensifying competitive landscape. Successful expansion into new betting verticals. |
Bloomberg Markets
Stocks Steady as Treasury Yields Slip After C...
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Feb 13, 2026
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LONG
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Coinbase rallied 16% (best day since May) despite reporting a revenue decline and a net loss. Bitcoin also rallied 4.5%. The stock's massive rally on bad earnings news suggests that the negative data was already "priced in." Investors are ignoring backward-looking financials and treating COIN purely as a high-beta proxy for Bitcoin price action, which is breaking out. LONG on momentum; when a stock rallies on bad news, it indicates seller exhaustion and strong underlying demand. Regulatory crackdowns or a reversal in Bitcoin spot prices. |
Bloomberg Markets
Stocks Steady as Treasury Yields Slip After C...
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Feb 13, 2026
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LONG
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Rivian shares jumped ~27% after reporting better-than-expected Q4 results and achieving its first-ever annual gross profit. Achieving gross profit is a critical inflection point for EV startups, signaling a move away from "cash incinerator" status toward sustainability. The upcoming R2 launch provides a product roadmap catalyst. LONG as a turnaround play, validating that operational efficiency is improving. Production delays on the R2 or waning overall EV demand. |
Bloomberg Markets
Stocks Steady as Treasury Yields Slip After C...
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Feb 13, 2026
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SHORT
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Pinterest shares fell ~17% after missing sales estimates. The company warned that tariffs on home furnishings are causing advertisers in that category to pull back spending. This is a macro-driven revenue hit. If tariffs increase costs for home goods companies (a core Pinterest demographic), marketing budgets are the first to be cut. This headwind is external and likely persistent under current trade policy expectations. SHORT/AVOID until the impact of trade policies on ad spend stabilizes. Unexpected recovery in ad spend or a buyout rumor. |
Bloomberg Markets
Stocks Steady as Treasury Yields Slip After C...
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Feb 13, 2026
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WATCH
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Nvidia fell 2.2% and has been stagnant for months despite rising Big Tech capex. There is growing investor anxiety that revenue growth will slow and fail to keep pace with the massive CapEx announcements. The market is compressing the valuation ahead of earnings, fearing a "pause" in spending. WATCH. The stock is in a consolidation phase with negative sentiment building; requires a strong earnings beat to break the stagnation. A massive earnings beat reignites the rally immediately. |
Bloomberg Markets
Stocks Steady as Treasury Yields Slip After C...
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Feb 11, 2026
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LONG
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Stock up ~10%. CFO Mark Murphy confirmed they are producing new High Bandwidth Memory (HBM) chips in "high volumes" and delivering to customers. HBM is the critical bottleneck for Nvidia's GPUs. High-volume production confirms Micron has solved yield issues and is now directly capitalizing on the AI capex spend. They are no longer just a commodity memory cycle play; they are an AI infrastructure essential. LONG. Cyclical downturn in legacy memory chips (PCs/Smartphones) offsetting AI gains. |
Bloomberg Markets
Stocks Little Changed as Yields Climb on Stro...
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Feb 11, 2026
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LONG
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Raised full-year revenue guidance to $61.2B-$61.7B. Boosted dividend by 2%. Raising guidance in a mixed macro environment signals that enterprise IT spending is stabilizing. The dividend hike signals strong cash flow confidence. It is a low-beta way to play the tech hardware upgrade cycle. LONG. Slowdown in enterprise campus networking spend. |
Bloomberg Markets
Stocks Little Changed as Yields Climb on Stro...
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Feb 11, 2026
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LONG
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Stock up 18%. CEO confirmed they entered the "AI world" in Q4 with large megawatt generators. KeyBanc predicts upside based on "positive data center developments." AI Data Centers have a massive, unmet power need. The grid is unreliable. Generac is pivoting from just "residential backup" to "critical AI infrastructure power." This re-rates the stock from a cyclical industrial to an AI-derivative play. LONG. The "Power for AI" trade is the second leg of the semiconductor boom. Regulatory hurdles for diesel/gas generators; competition from industrial power incumbents (CAT). |
Bloomberg Markets
Stocks Little Changed as Yields Climb on Stro...
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Feb 11, 2026
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AVOID
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Apple's Siri upgrade has run into "snags," pushing key features to iOS 26.5 or iOS 27. In an AI-driven market, speed is currency. Delays in shipping a competitive AI agent (Siri) suggest deep structural code issues or lack of readiness, leaving Apple vulnerable to competitors who are shipping functional agents now. AVOID. The "AI Supercycle" thesis for Apple is delayed. Apple could surprise with a different feature set; loyal user base ignores the delay. |
Bloomberg Markets
US Adds 130K Jobs, Sec. Wright Visits Venezue...
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